Mohammadpour R, Khanali F, Yazdani J, Mahmoodi M, Khosravi A. Estimating potential gain in life expectancy by eliminating causes of death in Iran, 2010. J Mazandaran Univ Med Sci 2014; 24 (112) :89-95
URL:
http://jmums.mazums.ac.ir/article-1-2693-en.html
Abstract: (9134 Views)
Background and purpose: Mortality is a natural and critical event and always has been intentioned as a biological, demographic, social and economic phenomenon. One of the dimensions of mortality reviewing is checking causes of death and determining life expectancy. Some causes of death lead to severe reduction in life expectancy. In this survey, the value of gain in life expectancy of 28 provinces in Iran was estimated after elimination of each death cause.
Materials and methods: This study was based upon number of deaths in 2010 in Iran except two Tehran and Isfahan Provinces which was prepared by the ministry of health, treatment and medical education.
Results: The importance of causes of death was determined using multiple decrement life tables which are based on theory of competing risks and effect of cause elimination on the gain in life expectancy. All the calculations in this survey were done by SAS version 9.1. Unintentional injuries and cardiovascular diseases were the most important risks for men. Elimination of unintentional injuries and cardiovascular diseases lead to 2.17 and 1.23 years gain in life expectancy at birth for men. And for women, cardiovascular diseases were the most important risks so that elimination of the risks leads to 1.23 years gain in life expectancy at birth.
Conclusion: Gain in life expectancy was different for causes of death and age groups. Elimination of cardiovascular diseases and events leads to most years gain in life expectancy.